The U.S. Congressional Budget Office said on September 12, 2025, that national economic growth will decline in 2025. The report showed that the gross domestic product is expected to fall from 2.5 percent in 2024 to 1.4 percent in 2025, lower than the earlier estimate of 1.9 percent. The slowdown is linked to weaker consumer spending, reduced workforce numbers, and higher tariffs. These tariffs may raise costs for households and businesses. Immigration rules are also expected to reduce the number of workers. Analysts stated that these conditions may affect economic stability, although future years may show some recovery in growth.

The official forecast explained how the economy may change in the coming years. Growth could rise to 2.2 percent in 2026 and then stabilize at 1.8 percent in 2027 and 2028. Unemployment may reach 4.5 percent in 2025 before improving, while inflation is expected to be 3.1 percent in 2025 before dropping to 2.4 percent in 2026. Population may shrink, and about 320,000 people are expected to leave in ten years. The population could be 4.5 million lower by 2035. White House officials argued that tax cuts and energy projects would expand opportunities. Experts predict that the outcome will include both risks and long-term stability.