The Congressional Budget Office released a report on September 12, 2025, stating that the United States’ economic growth will slow in 2025. The office explained that the gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to decline from 2.5% in 2024 to 1.4% in 2025, compared to the earlier estimate of 1.9%. The slowdown is linked to weaker consumer spending and a shrinking workforce. Tariffs are expected to increase costs for households and businesses, while new immigration rules may reduce the labor supply. Experts warned that these adverse policies could make the short-term outlook less stable, even though future years may show some improvement.

The projections showed that GDP could rise to 2.2% in 2026 before stabilizing at 1.8% in 2027 and 2028. Unemployment is predicted to peak at 4.5% in 2025 before improving later, while inflation may reach 3.1% in 2025 before falling to 2.4% in 2026. About 320,000 people may be removed from the country over the next decade, with the population projected to be 4.5 million lower by 2035. White House officials claimed that tax cuts, deregulation, and energy expansion would bring substantial benefits. Analysts described the forecast as evident, intricate, and assertive, stressing that the changes ahead will affect both immediate risks and long-term stability.